Friday, February 27, 2015
The economic and industrial impact of modular phones
Modular phones are a new way to build smartphones. Rather than a single unit designed and delivered by an individual manufacturer, a frame provides a platform onto which individual modules (such as a battery, camera or antennae) are affixed. The potential for disruption held by this nascent technology is tremendous and modular phones are receiving significant attention, funding and resources from technology firms.
- Phones will begin to see greater adoption in developing markets in 2015 and 2016.
- If developing region pilots succeed, phones will arrive in the United States in mid-2016 or 2017.
- If pilots go well and phones see acceptable introduction to developed markets, modular phones could see widespread use by 2018.
- There may be a novel module industry akin to the app industry today, worth an estimated 25 billion dollars.