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Decision-maker's overconfidence and international performance: the role of the adoption of intuitive practices

Fabio Musso (Department of Economics, Society, Politics, University of Urbino, Urbino, Italy)
Barbara Francioni (Department of Communication Sciences, Humanities and International Studies, University of Urbino, Urbino, Italy)
Ilaria Curina (Department of Communication Sciences, Humanities and International Studies, University of Urbino, Urbino, Italy)
Fabio Tramontana (Department of Economics, Society, Politics, University of Urbino, Urbino, Italy)
Paolo Polidori (Department of Law, University of Urbino, Urbino, Italy)
Maria Gabriella Pediconi (Department of Economics, Society, Politics, University of Urbino, Urbino, Italy)

Journal of Small Business and Enterprise Development

ISSN: 1462-6004

Article publication date: 24 January 2022

Issue publication date: 18 October 2022

554

Abstract

Purpose

The paper analyses the influence of the decision-makers' overconfidence on the intuitive practices' adoption, as well as on the international performance during international strategic decision-making processes (SDMPs) of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Moreover, the study investigates the possible mediating effect of intuition on the relationship between overconfidence and international performance.

Design/methodology/approach

A semi-structured questionnaire based on a sample of 160 SMEs and a regression analysis have been employed.

Findings

Results show a negative relationship between intuition and international performance and a positive one between overconfidence and international performance. Furthermore, a negative relation between overconfidence and intuition has been identified. Findings also highlight the mediating role of intuition in the relationship between overconfidence and international performance.

Practical implications

The paper provides valuable implications related to the analysis of overconfidence as a critical decision-maker's character and intuition as a feature of the decision-making methodology. Moreover, the study offers indications for SMEs facing complex strategic decisions.

Originality/value

The paper adopts an original perspective by combining the SDMP analysis with that of international strategy within the SMEs context. Additionally, the study enriches the existing literature by (1) investigating overconfidence in the decision-making; (2) enhancing the examination of overconfidence and intuitive practices in the international SDMP; (3) deepening the research field focused on the identification of the intuitive processes' predictors that is still in its infancy.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

Funding: The research was funded by competitive research grant - Carlo Bo University of Urbino, Department of Economics, Society and Politics (Delibera n. 17/80 del 28 marzo 2018 del Consiglio di Dipartimento di Economia, Società, Politica).

Citation

Musso, F., Francioni, B., Curina, I., Tramontana, F., Polidori, P. and Pediconi, M.G. (2022), "Decision-maker's overconfidence and international performance: the role of the adoption of intuitive practices", Journal of Small Business and Enterprise Development, Vol. 29 No. 7, pp. 1049-1070. https://doi.org/10.1108/JSBED-10-2021-0429

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2021, Emerald Publishing Limited

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