A deforming time approach to the treatment of risk in projects evaluation

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of the paper is to introduce a novel methodology to identify and quantify the difference of financial risks exhibited by listed and unlisted companies in their debt payments from an empirical point of view.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper attempts to establish the theoretical relationship between the agreed original periods and their corresponding periods of real payments. It is based on Krugman’s curve. This relationship has been implemented using data from listed and unlisted companies of Spain and from Western Europe countries (divided by companies, size and industry).

Findings

An alternative model has been implemented with the available information about listed and unlisted companies. There is not a significant difference in the financial risk level corresponding to listed and unlisted firms in Spain.

Practical/implications

The paper could provide a useful guidance in applying the risk in project assessment.

Originality/value

This paper provides a new methodology to reduce the subjectivity shown in the treatment of risk by traditional approaches. The method allows to including the financial risk in the time parameter of the discount function. Analysis of the delays in debt payments by both listed and unlisted companies; Alternative model able to describe the expected delays from the initial agreed period; Inclusion of the financial risk in the parameter “time” of a discount function.

Citation

Cruz-Rambaud, S. and Sanchez-Perez, A.M. (2018), "A deforming time approach to the treatment of risk in projects evaluation", Journal of Risk Finance, Vol. 19 No. 5, pp. 548-563. https://doi.org/10.1108/JRF-11-2017-0175