To read the full version of this content please select one of the options below:

Predicted property investment returns: risk and growth models

Nick French (Real Estate Valuation Theurgy, Frilsham, UK)

Journal of Property Investment & Finance

ISSN: 1463-578X

Article publication date: 20 August 2019

Issue publication date: 20 August 2019



The purpose of this paper is to discuss the principal measures of performance used in property and other investment types. In particular, the briefing will explore the relationship of the expected IRR with the initial return, highlighting the role of growth in the investment dynamic.


This education briefing is an overview of investment growth models with worked examples.


The analysis of property growth models is akin to the Fisher and Gordon growth models used in other finance markets.

Practical implications

This comparison of the models can work for all forms of investment. Similarly, instead of looking at the overall return as the measure of comparison (expected vs required), it is possible to work backwards and deduce market expectations and compare these with the investors view on those variables.


This is a review of existing models.



French, N. (2019), "Predicted property investment returns: risk and growth models", Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Vol. 37 No. 6, pp. 580-588.



Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2019, Emerald Publishing Limited