Urban mobility modeling to reduce traffic congestion in Surabaya: a system dynamics framework
Journal of Modelling in Management
ISSN: 1746-5664
Article publication date: 28 February 2020
Issue publication date: 7 April 2021
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to address the urban mobility and traffic congestion problem under environmental dynamics to improve mobility and reduce traffic congestion using system dynamics (SD) simulation and scenarios.
Design/methodology/approach
SD simulation was used to analyze urban mobility and traffic congestion. Data were collected from the Transportation Department of Surabaya City. Several scenarios to improve urban mobility and reduce traffic congestion were developed by modifying the structures and parameters of the model.
Findings
Several factors influence urban mobility, including modal split, trip frequency, delay performance and the ratio of public transport supply and demand. Urban mobility, daily traffic and road capacity are some factors that affect traffic congestion. Scenarios can be designed based on the assumptions of the proposed strategy.
Research limitations/implications
The study was conducted at Surabaya City, East Java, Indonesia, which is the fourth most-congested city in the world.
Practical implications
By implementing several strategies (mass rapid transit and bus rapid transit development and public transport delay reduction), mobility performance is projected to be improved by 70.34-92.96%. With this increased mobility, traffic congestion is projected to decline by 52.5-65.8%.
Originality/value
The novel contributions of this research are: formulating relationships between several variables; modeling dynamic behavior of urban mobility and traffic congestion; and building scenario models to improve mobility and reduce traffic congestion in Surabaya. With the increase in urban mobility and the decrease in average daily traffic, traffic congestion could be reduced by a minimum of 57.6% and a maximum of 69%.
Keywords
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by ITS (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember) Research Center, Enterprise Systems Laboratory, City Transportation Office of Surabaya and Faculty of Information and Communication Technology of ITS.
This paper forms part of special section “System Dynamics Contributions to Modelling in Management”, guest edited by Martin Kunc, Federico Barnabe and Juan Pablo Torres.
Citation
Suryani, E., Hendrawan, R.A., Adipraja, P.F.E., Wibisono, A. and Dewi, L.P. (2021), "Urban mobility modeling to reduce traffic congestion in Surabaya: a system dynamics framework", Journal of Modelling in Management, Vol. 16 No. 1, pp. 37-69. https://doi.org/10.1108/JM2-03-2019-0055
Publisher
:Emerald Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2020, Emerald Publishing Limited