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Testing for bubbles in the BRICS stock markets

Tsangyao Chang (Department of Finance, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan)
Luis Gil-Alana (Department of Economics, University of Navarra, Pamplona, Spain)
Goodness C. Aye (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa)
Rangan Gupta (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa)
Omid Ranjbar (Department of International Affairs, Ministry of Industry, Mine, and Trade, Tehran, Iran)

Journal of Economic Studies

ISSN: 0144-3585

Article publication date: 12 September 2016

1142

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether there exist multiple bubbles in the Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) stock markets.

Design/methodology/approach

In this study, the authors apply the generalized sup Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, a new recursive test proposed by Phillips et al. (2015) and use monthly data on stock price-dividend ratio.

Findings

The empirical results indicate that there exist multiple bubbles in the stock markets of the BRICS. Further, the dates of the bubbles also correspond to specific events in the stock markets of these economies. This finding has important economic and policy implications.

Originality/value

The authors declare that this paper is original and has not been published by another journal previously.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank two anonymous referees for many helpful comments. However, any remaining errors are solely the authors.

Citation

Chang, T., Gil-Alana, L., Aye, G.C., Gupta, R. and Ranjbar, O. (2016), "Testing for bubbles in the BRICS stock markets", Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 43 No. 4, pp. 646-660. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-07-2014-0128

Publisher

:

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2016, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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