The effects of COVID-19 on trade, production, environmental quality and its implications for green economy
ISSN: 0144-3585
Article publication date: 11 November 2021
Issue publication date: 18 October 2022
Abstract
Purpose
This study examines the effects of COVID-19 on trade, production and environmental quality and provides policy implications on green recovery.
Design/methodology/approach
The two-step Heckman method is applied to estimate the structural gravity specification of trade. Besides, the two-step system GMM model is used to estimate the effects of COVID-19 on production and environmental quality. Additionally, descriptive analysis and literature review have been used.
Findings
The findings disclose that COVID-19 adversely affected the trade performance of the countries. The results further imply that the regional trade agreements (RTAs) can play a key mediating role in the post-COVID-19 trade recovery. Besides, the impact of COVID-19 on the output is substantially negative. However, the effect of COVID-19 on environmental quality is significantly positive.
Originality/value
It is the first study of its kind to examine the effects of COVID-19 on trade, production and CO2 emissions covering panel countries. Second, it provides a detailed analysis of firms planning to engage in the export sector. Moreover, it offers policy suggestions to consider environmental quality and green recovery. Besides, it examines the mediating role of RTAs in the relationship between trade and the pandemic.
Keywords
Acknowledgements
Funding: This research is funded by The National Social Science Fund of China (No: 20BSH103) and National Natural Science Foundation of China (No: 72172129).
Citation
Borojo, D.G., Yushi, J. and Miao, M. (2022), "The effects of COVID-19 on trade, production, environmental quality and its implications for green economy", Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 49 No. 8, pp. 1340-1359. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-06-2021-0307
Publisher
:Emerald Publishing Limited
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