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Strong hysteresis in Brazilian imports: a panel cointegration approach

Diogo de Prince (São Paulo School of Economics, Getúlio Vargas Foundation, São Paulo, Brazil)
Sérgio Kannebley Junior (Department of Economics, University of São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, Brazil)

Journal of Economic Studies

ISSN: 0144-3585

Article publication date: 30 August 2013

322

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the hysteresis hypothesis for the price and quantity of Brazilian imports in recent years.

Design/methodology/approach

The empirical measure of strong macro hysteresis, as developed by Piscitelli et al., was incorporated into import demand and pass‐through panel cointegration equations.

Findings

The results show that the number of sectors that do not reject hysteresis is larger for the import price than for the demand for imported goods. The evidence supports Dixit's idea that the presence of hysteresis should diminish the degree of pass‐through. Correcting for hysteresis makes quantity and price of imports more sensitive to exchange rate variations.

Originality/value

This paper contributes to the literature by introducing Piscitelli et al.'s measure to test the hysteresis hypothesis in import prices and quantity.

Keywords

Citation

de Prince, D. and Kannebley Junior, S. (2013), "Strong hysteresis in Brazilian imports: a panel cointegration approach", Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 40 No. 4, pp. 528-548. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-01-2011-0010

Publisher

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Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2013, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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