An Empirical Analysis on Trading strategy of KTB and KTF Using the Two Factors CIR Term Structure Model

Yun Keun Lee (Citibank Korea)

Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies: 선물연구

ISSN: 1229-988X

Article publication date: 31 May 2005

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Abstract

The term structure of KTB (Korea Treasury Bond) is empirically implemented and forecasted by the extended 2-factor CIR model. Pearson and Sun model. MLE is applied to estimate parameters. Using KTB prices forecasted by the model, strategies of trading and hedge between KTB, KTF (Korea Treasury Futures) are established. In this article we can see that Pearson and Sun model appropriately explains the term structure of KTB but does not fit forecasting KTB prices. However, the model well forecasts the direction of interest rate moving up or down. Through such a forecast‘ profit via trading KTB and KTF can be realized.

Keywords

Citation

Kim, T.S., Lee, Y.K. and Hyun, J.-S. (2005), "An Empirical Analysis on Trading strategy of KTB and KTF Using the Two Factors CIR Term Structure Model", Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies: 선물연구, Vol. 13 No. 1, pp. 77-97. https://doi.org/10.1108/JDQS-01-2005-B0004

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2005 Emerald Publishing Limited

License

This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode


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