Are remittances and imports substitute or complement in developing country? A disaggregated evidence
Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies
ISSN: 1754-4408
Article publication date: 1 February 2022
Issue publication date: 7 February 2022
Abstract
Purpose
Despite the reasonable surge of remittances and imports in Pakistan, very less attention has been given to this area. To bridge the gap, this study aims to explore the relationship of worker’s remittances and imports of Pakistan at both aggregate and disaggregate levels. Also, this research focuses on investigating whether remitted income substitute or complement imports of the country.
Design/methodology/approach
To achieve these goals, the authors use annual time-series data from 1974–2016.
Findings
Empirical findings obtained from the autoregressive distributed lag model method suggest that remittances substitute imports in Pakistan. It is also found that remittances not only substitute aggregate imports but also act as a substitute at different disaggregated levels. Further, it is documented that higher economic growth increases imports, whereas the real exchange rate for imports is inversely related to imports at both levels.
Originality/value
These empirical findings also draw some substantive policy implications for the state owners and policy advisers.
Keywords
Citation
Jawaid, S.T., Khan, L. and Arif, I. (2022), "Are remittances and imports substitute or complement in developing country? A disaggregated evidence", Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, Vol. 15 No. 1, pp. 106-123. https://doi.org/10.1108/JCEFTS-07-2021-0038
Publisher
:Emerald Publishing Limited
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