Sustainability assessment of crops' production in India: empirical evidence from ARDL-ECM approach
Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies
ISSN: 2044-0839
Article publication date: 17 January 2022
Issue publication date: 12 May 2023
Abstract
Purpose
The study aims to evaluate the long- vs short-run relationships between crops' production (output) and crops' significant inputs such as land use, agricultural water use (AWU) and gross irrigated area in India during the period 1981–2018.
Design/methodology/approach
The study applied the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to estimate the co-integration among the variables. The study uses the error correction model (ECM), which integrates the short-run dynamics with the long-run equilibrium.
Findings
The ARDL bounds test of co-integration confirms the strong evidence of the long-run relationship among the variables. Empirical results show the positive and significant relationship of crops' production with land use and gross irrigated area. The statistically significant error correction term (ECT) validates the speed of adjustment of the empirical models in the long-run.
Research limitations/implications
The study suggests that the decision-makers must understand potential trade-offs between human needs and environmental impacts to ensure food for the growing population in India.
Originality/value
For a clear insight into the impact of climate change on crops' production, the current study incorporates the climate variables such as annual rainfall, maximum temperature and minimum temperature. Further, the study considered agro-chemicals, i.e. fertilizers and pesticides, concerning their negative impacts on increased agricultural production and the environment.
Keywords
Acknowledgements
The author would like to thank Dr. Ashok Mishra, Editor of the journal for his valuable comments and feedback to revise this paper. The author thankful to all anonymous referees for their valuable comments and insightful suggestions, which enabled me to improve this paper’s quality significantly.
Citation
Chopra, R.R. (2023), "Sustainability assessment of crops' production in India: empirical evidence from ARDL-ECM approach", Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, Vol. 13 No. 3, pp. 468-489. https://doi.org/10.1108/JADEE-06-2021-0153
Publisher
:Emerald Publishing Limited
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