Ramadan’s impact on the optimism of analysts’ recommendations
International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management
ISSN: 1753-8394
Article publication date: 25 July 2019
Issue publication date: 11 November 2019
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to document the impact of Ramadan on the optimism of analysts’ recommendations taking as a sample the countries of the MENA region during the period between 2004 and 2015. The choice of these countries can be explained by the fact that their population is predominantly of a Muslim faith (The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections, 2010-2050, 2015).
Design/methodology/approach
The authors used univariate and multivariate regression models to highlight the existence of the Ramadan effect on the optimism of analysts. They have found that pre-holiday optimism is significantly lower than post-holiday optimism.
Findings
This paper also documented the effect of analysts’ experience and information uncertainty on the analysts’ optimism level that allowed us to infer that low experience enhances optimism, while environment with low information uncertainty tends to decrease the level of optimism.
Originality/value
Previous research on this topic has investigated the effect of months of the year, turns of the month and days-of-the-week on the behavior of stock exchanges. Another strand of the literature also analyzed the effect of holidays on the latter. However, this is the first attempt to investigate this effect on analysts’ recommendations optimism when the holiday period is related to Islam.
Keywords
Citation
Satt, H., Nechbaoui, S., Hassan, M.K. and Izadi, S. (2019), "Ramadan’s impact on the optimism of analysts’ recommendations", International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, Vol. 12 No. 5, pp. 727-742. https://doi.org/10.1108/IMEFM-04-2019-0171
Publisher
:Emerald Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2019, Emerald Publishing Limited