Planning robust policing futures: modelling using multimethodology

Jonathan Moizer (Faculty of Business, Plymouth University, Plymouth, UK)
David Carter (Faculty of Business, Plymouth University, Plymouth, UK)
Shaofeng Liu (Faculty of Business, University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK)

Industrial Management & Data Systems

ISSN: 0263-5577

Publication date: 13 April 2015

Abstract

Purpose

The resourcing of policing activity is characterised by a level of complexity, particularly where evaluating alternative policy options is concerned. In this paper, a case study using multimethodological modelling to compare alterative policy choice in a group context is outlined with respect to response-patrol officer (RPO) deployment within a UK police force. The paper aims to discuss these issues.

Design/methodology/approach

The application of a three phase modelling process is illustrated where scenario planning is used to generate the scope of the system elements to be modelled. This is followed by causal mapping to identify the barriers to improving officer resourcing, and system dynamics modelling is used to simulate the impacts of a range of policy options within this policing function. A group model building approach was applied throughout the modelling phases with an expert group to negotiate a shared view of the structure and dynamics of the resourcing policy challenges.

Findings

A fully validated system dynamics model emerged from the multi-phase modelling process which allowed a series of alternative future policy scenarios to be explored and evaluated. Useful policy insights were generated by the system dynamics simulation model which suggested more efficient rules for resource allocation in the police force’s RPO function.

Originality/value

The insights from this case study demonstrates that multi-phase modelling has potential application in policy exploration across a range of emergency service providers whose actions are governed by both variable demand and constrained supply of resource.

Keywords

Citation

Moizer, J., Carter, D. and Liu, S. (2015), "Planning robust policing futures: modelling using multimethodology", Industrial Management & Data Systems, Vol. 115 No. 3, pp. 462-482. https://doi.org/10.1108/IMDS-11-2014-0336

Download as .RIS

Publisher

:

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2015, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Please note you might not have access to this content

You may be able to access this content by login via Shibboleth, Open Athens or with your Emerald account.
If you would like to contact us about accessing this content, click the button and fill out the form.
To rent this content from Deepdyve, please click the button.