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New job matches and their stability before and during the crisis

Amparo Nagore García (LISER, Esch-sur-Alzette, Luxembourg)
Arthur van Soest (Tilburg University, Tilburg, The Netherlands)

International Journal of Manpower

ISSN: 0143-7720

Article publication date: 2 October 2017




Using administrative data from the Spanish Social Security Administration, the purpose of this paper is to analyse the nature and stability of job matches starting during the economic boom in 2005 and during the recession in 2009.


The authors compare the individual, job, and firm characteristics in the two samples and estimate a competing risk model distinguishing job-to-job, job-to-unemployment, and other transitions.


The authors find that job-to-job transitions are pro-cyclical, while unemployment transitions are counter-cyclical. Individuals most affected by the economic crisis tend to be young males, living in regions with high unemployment rates, with low qualifications and working in manual occupations (particularly construction), and (especially Spanish speaking) immigrants.


The positive relation between job stability and firm size is stronger during the recession than during the boom.



The authors thank the Spanish SSA for providing the data and two anonymous referees, Maria Rochina Barrachina, Olga Cantó Sánchez, Hans Bloemen, Adriaan Kalwij, Jan van Ours, conference and seminar participants in Alicante, Montreal and Tilburg for useful comments. Nagore García acknowledges financial support from the University of Valencia (UV-INV-EPDI14-185331 and UV-INV-PRECOMP14-207306).


Nagore García, A. and van Soest, A. (2017), "New job matches and their stability before and during the crisis", International Journal of Manpower, Vol. 38 No. 7, pp. 975-995.



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