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Identifying the hidden layers of cultural changes and pinpointing the contributing factors of cultural changes using the casual layered analysis

Mohsen Mohammadi (Department of Futures Studies, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran)
Mohammad Rahim Eivazi (Faculty of Humanities, Shahed University, Tehran, Iran)
Gholam Reza Goudarzi (Imam Sadegh University, Tehran, Iran)
Einollah Keshavarz Turk (Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran)

Foresight

ISSN: 1463-6689

Article publication date: 9 April 2018

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Abstract

Purpose

Various theoretical studies were carried out which attempted to identify impacting factors of cultural changes; however, these studies ignored the correlation among other affecting factors all together. In this paper, the authors aim not only to discuss the hidden layers that trigger the cultural changes but also to answer the questions of how to identify the main factors in each layer based on casual layered analysis (CLA), which could have a strong impact in shaping other layers’ factors? What are the dominant metaphors and worldviews that human beings are telling themselves about our universe that influences the future cultural changes?

Design/methodology/approach

To answer the questions of “how to identify the main factors in each layer,” the CLA methodology was used to investigate the underlying reasons. CLA takes into account four layers (litany, social systems, dominant discourse and worldviews and metaphors), which could be a tremendous help in identifying the mentioned factors.

Findings

The analysis shows that there are some contributing factors such as economy, technology, politics, society, environment, mass media, globalization and migration at the second layer – “social systems layer” – which may trigger cultural changes in first layer “litany”; in addition, in the third and deeper layer two dominant worldviews – materialist/secular and religious affecting the contributing factors in the second layer – were identified. Such worldviews are, in turn, supported by metaphors or perfect stories/myths of the deepest layer.

Originality/value

It can be concluded that because the cultural changes as a reality is composed of different layers, it is important to dig into different layers of reality to comprehend the significant shaping factors of that reality to visualize and make the better future.

Keywords

Citation

Mohammadi, M., Eivazi, M.R., Reza Goudarzi, G. and Keshavarz Turk, E. (2018), "Identifying the hidden layers of cultural changes and pinpointing the contributing factors of cultural changes using the casual layered analysis", Foresight, Vol. 20 No. 2, pp. 162-174. https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-08-2017-0041

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

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