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More exposed but also more vulnerable? Climate change, high intensity precipitation events and flooding in Mediterranean Spain

Anna Ribas (Department of Geography, University of Girona, Girona, Spain)
Jorge Olcina (Análisis Geográfico Regional, Universidad de Alicante, Alicante, Spain)
David Sauri (Department of Geography, Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona, Catalunya, Spain)

Disaster Prevention and Management

ISSN: 0965-3562

Article publication date: 28 January 2020

Issue publication date: 16 April 2020

672

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to examine the role of high intensity precipitation events in increasing the vulnerability to floods in Mediterranean Spain. Precipitation intensity in this area appears to have augmented in the last two decades in association with warming trends of the Mediterranean Sea. At the same time, intense urbanization processes, occupying and transforming flood prone land, have produced an important increase in exposure. The main objective is to assess whether higher intensity precipitation and changing patterns in exposure aggravate vulnerability to floods.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, vulnerability is understood as the result of the interrelationships between exposure, sensitivity, impacts and adaptive capacity. Consequently, methods used involved the compilation and analysis of published and unpublished precipitation data, population and land use data, data on insurance claims, and media sources related to those variables.

Findings

Changes toward episodes of more intense precipitation in the expanding urban areas of Mediterranean Spain increase exposure but not necessarily vulnerability, at least in terms of human deaths. However, adaptative capacity needs to be formulated. Actions that attempt to absorb and eventually reuse flood flows (as the flood park in Alicante) appear to be more effective than traditional hydraulic solutions (as in Majorca).

Originality/value

The paper provides a systematic and coherent approach to vulnerability analysis taking into account the changing dynamics of its components. Especially, it signals the limits of current adaptive approaches to flooding and advocates for changes toward a more circular and less linear approach to urban drainage.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The authors appreciate the collaboration of the Consorcio de Compensación de Seguros and particularly of Mr Francisco Espejo, Subdirector of Studies and International Relations, in providing data on premiums paid to compensate for flood losses. The authors also thank AEMET, METEOCAT, Carles Bayés, Gerard Taulé and Josep Abel González for meteorological data. This research was part of the projects PLUVIRESMED and EFHINTUR, both funded by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (Grant Numbers CSO2015-65182-C2-2P, CSO2015-65182-C1-1P and CSO2016-75740-P).

Citation

Ribas, A., Olcina, J. and Sauri, D. (2020), "More exposed but also more vulnerable? Climate change, high intensity precipitation events and flooding in Mediterranean Spain", Disaster Prevention and Management, Vol. 29 No. 3, pp. 229-248. https://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-05-2019-0149

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2020, Emerald Publishing Limited

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