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Government support for SMEs in response to COVID-19: theoretical model using Wang transform

Shaun Shuxun Wang (Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China)
Jing Rong Goh (Risk Lighthouse International Pte Ltd, Singapore, Singapore)
Didier Sornette (ETH-Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland)
He Wang (Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China)
Esther Ying Yang (Risk Lighthouse LLC, New York, New York, USA)

China Finance Review International

ISSN: 2044-1398

Article publication date: 26 July 2021

Issue publication date: 2 August 2021

1988

Abstract

Purpose

Many governments are taking measures in support of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to mitigate the economic impact of the COVID-19 outbreak. This paper presents a theoretical model for evaluating various government measures, including insurance for bank loans, interest rate subsidy, bridge loans and relief of tax burdens.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper distinguishes a firm's intrinsic value and book value, where a firm can lose its intrinsic value when it encounters cash-flow crunch. Wang transform is applied to (1) calculating the appropriate level of interest rate subsidy payable to incentivize banks to issue more loans to SMEs and to extend the loan maturity of current debt to the SMEs, (2) describing the frailty distribution for SMEs and (3) defining banks' underwriting capability and overlap index in risk selection.

Findings

Government support for SMEs can be in the form of an appropriate level of interest rate subsidy payable to incentivize banks to issue more loans to SMEs and to extend the loan maturity of current debt to the SMEs.

Research limitations/implications

More available data on bank loans would have helped strengthen the empirical studies.

Practical implications

This paper makes policy recommendations of establishing policy-oriented banks or investment funds dedicated to supporting SMEs, developing risk indices for SMEs to facilitate refined risk underwriting, providing SMEs with long-term tax relief and early-stage equity-type investments.

Social implications

The model highlights the importance of providing bridge loans to SMEs during the COVID-19 disruption to prevent massive business closures.

Originality/value

This paper provides an analytical framework using Wang transform for analyzing the most effective form of government support for SMEs.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The authors thank Ms. Tang Qi and managers at the Finance Bureau of Shenzhen Municipality for several research discussion sessions on the subject matter.

Citation

Wang, S.S., Goh, J.R., Sornette, D., Wang, H. and Yang, E.Y. (2021), "Government support for SMEs in response to COVID-19: theoretical model using Wang transform", China Finance Review International, Vol. 11 No. 3, pp. 406-433. https://doi.org/10.1108/CFRI-05-2021-0088

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2021, Emerald Publishing Limited

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