Optimization analysis of grain self-production and import structure based on carbon footprint
China Agricultural Economic Review
ISSN: 1756-137X
Article publication date: 9 August 2022
Issue publication date: 11 October 2022
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to reduce the carbon footprint of food by adjusting the international trade and planting structure and to provide possible ideas for the improvement of the world's food green production and green trade.
Design/methodology/approach
Using the literature analysis method to collect carbon footprint data calculated based on the life cycle assessment (LCA) method, and establishing an optimization model and an ARIMA prediction model for empirical analysis, this paper explores the possibility to reduce carbon emissions by adjusting import structure and self-production structure.
Findings
The results show that only through the adjustment of the import structure, carbon emissions can be reduced by 3.29 million tons at the source of imports. When domestic self-production is included, a total of 4.51 million tons of carbon emissions can be reduced, this provides ideas for low-carbon emission reduction in agriculture and animal husbandry.
Originality/value
This article is the first to use the carbon footprint data obtained by other scholars using LCA to optimize and analyze the grain trade structure and planting structure from a low-carbon perspective, and obtain specific emission reductions.
Keywords
Acknowledgements
This work is supported by NSSF (National Social Science Foundation) project (Project No. 18ZDA070) and NNSFC (National Natural Science Foundation of China) Project (Project No. 71373249). Meanwhile, it is also supported by the fundamental research funds for the provincial universities of Zhejiang (Project No. 2020YW36), key project of soft science research in Zhejiang province (Project No. 2020C25010) and Zhejiang provincial key research base of management science and engineering.
Citation
Zhang, H., Zhao, F. and Han, K. (2022), "Optimization analysis of grain self-production and import structure based on carbon footprint", China Agricultural Economic Review, Vol. 14 No. 4, pp. 741-757. https://doi.org/10.1108/CAER-02-2022-0036
Publisher
:Emerald Publishing Limited
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