Can an apple a day keep COVID-19 away? A cluster analysis of the long-term COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on the consumption of apples in Italy

Carlo Giannetto (Department of Economics, Universita degli Studi di Messina, Messina, Italy)
Angelina De Pascale (Department of Economics, Universita degli Studi di Messina, Messina, Italy)
Giuseppe Di Vita (Department of Veterinary Sciences, Universita degli Studi di Messina, Messina, Italy)
Maurizio Lanfranchi (Department of Economics, Universita degli Studi di Messina, Messina, Italy)

British Food Journal

ISSN: 0007-070X

Article publication date: 24 January 2024

Issue publication date: 16 December 2024

930

Abstract

Purpose

Apples have always been considered a healthy product able to provide curative properties to consumers. In Italy, there is a long tradition of apple consumption and production both as a fresh product and as processed food. However, as with many other products, the consumption of fruits and vegetables and, more specifically apples, has been drastically affected by the first lockdown in 2020. In this project, the authors investigate whether the change in consumption habits had long-lasting consequences beyond 2020 and what are the main eating motivations, food-related behavior and socio-demographic affecting the consumption of fruits and vegetables after the pandemic.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors ran two online surveys with 1,000 Italian consumers across a year (from October 2021 to December 2022). In the study, participants answered questions about their consumption habits and their eating motives. Out of 1,000 consumers, the authors included in the final analysis only the participants who answered both surveys, leaving a final sample of 651 consumers.

Findings

The results show that participants have allocated more budget to fruit and vegetables after the lockdown than before it. Moreover, consumers reported an average increase in the consumption of apples. However, the increase was more pronounced for people aged between 30 and 50 years old and identified as female. After showing the difference across time, a cluster analysis identified three main segments that differ in their eating motives, place of purchase and area of residence.

Practical implications

Overall, the results contribute to a better understanding of how the global pandemic is still affecting people's daily life. Moreover, the findings can be used to guide the marketing and communication strategies of companies in the food sector.

Originality/value

To the best of the authors' knowledge, this is the first study that investigates changes in the consumption of fruits and vegetables, and, more specifically, apples, in Italy more than one year after the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, the study proposes a classification of consumers based on their habits in a time frame during which the COVID-19 wave was at its bottom which is not currently present in the literature.

Keywords

Citation

Giannetto, C., De Pascale, A., Di Vita, G. and Lanfranchi, M. (2024), "Can an apple a day keep COVID-19 away? A cluster analysis of the long-term COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on the consumption of apples in Italy", British Food Journal, Vol. 126 No. 13, pp. 40-56. https://doi.org/10.1108/BFJ-06-2023-0465

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2024, Carlo Giannetto, Angelina De Pascale, Giuseppe Di Vita and Maurizio Lanfranchi

License

Published by Emerald Publishing Limited. This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode


1. Introduction

An apple a day keeps the doctor away” – a popular proverb.

When the COVID-19 pandemic started in 2020, most of us had no idea that the consequences of such an event would still last nowadays (WHO, 2023). Among many other sectors such as business and education (e.g. Gardner and Matviak, 2020; Korn et al., 2020), the COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted consumers' eating habits worldwide (e.g. Ammann et al., 2022; Dumitras et al., 2021; Güney and Sangün, 2021; Sooriyaarachchi et al., 2022). Health and safety concerns have influenced consumer preferences, with an increasing demand for products considered healthy (Caso et al., 2022; Alaimo et al., 2020; Lanfranchi et al., 2017). In particular, fruits and vegetables have been identified as products that can help improve immunity and prevent disease (Alaimo et al., 2022; Mattioli et al., 2020). Among the different fruits and vegetables, the apple has a long tradition to be a fruit associated with a healthy diet and curative properties (Anderson et al., 1994; Gallus et al., 2005; Lanfranchi et al., 2015).

In general, previous literature has investigated different reasons why people are willing to consume apples. For example, people with higher perceived and objective knowledge about apples' characteristics give more importance to the physical attributes of the product, which ultimately, affects consumption (Rombach et al., 2022a). A study conducted with Danish consumers shows that people have different preferences for organic and locally produced apples depending on their beliefs about organic food (Denver and Jensen, 2014). Another study conducted by Kamphuis et al. shows that good local availability (e.g. access to one's own vegetable garden, having low food insecurity) seemed to exert a positive influence on intake. Important determinants for the purchase of fruits and vegetables included taste and health awareness/knowledge (Grosso et al., 2013; Hartman et al., 2013). Consumers are also more willing to pay for certified apples (Wang and Huo, 2016), and willing to buy depending on the price, origin, and the type of production (Hurgobin et al., 2020). Moreover, studies have shown that the preferences for apple consumption depend on some demographic characteristics. For example, young people are less likely to consume apples than older generations (Konopacka et al., 2010) and people from some countries are more likely to accept certain varieties of apples over others (Bonany et al., 2013). Some studies conducted with Italians consumers examined the relationship between fruit and vegetable consumption and food-related family lifestyle (dinner with parents, family food rules, and television viewing behaviors) (Verzeletti et al., 2010), and that consumption of fruit is mainly based on credence and experience attributes, which have different effects on the consumer decision to consume fruit (Migliore et al., 2015). The first lockdown in 2020 has drastically affected the consumption of apples in Italy (Maugeri et al., 2023; Bossi Fedrigotti and Fischer, 2020) and in other countries (e.g. Rombach et al., 2022b; Isaskar and Periwitasari, 2021). For example, previous research has shown an overall increase in the consumption of fruits and vegetables of around 18% during the first Italian lockdown (Crea, 2020). Similar trends have been observed in other countries. During the lockdown in Canada, the distribution of fresh food has remained one of the key sectors in the food service and retail industry (Richards and Rickard, 2020). Also in China, people have started consuming healthier options such as fruits, vegetables, and cereals-based products more after the lockdown and consuming fewer alcoholic beverages, snacks, and junk food (Chen et al., 2021; Jia et al., 2021). However, all these studies focus on a very short temporal difference before and after the lockdowns in 2020. Thus, it is not clear whether the changes in consumption habits are long-lasting.

The objective of this paper is twofold. First, we investigate the changes in consumption patterns over one-year time between the Italian lockdown in 2021 and a similar period in 2022. This time frame provides a unique opportunity to study whether it was the first lockdown that affected consumption habits or whether any form of restriction might influence subsequent habits of consumers more in the long run. In Italy, the apple has always been one of the most consumed fruits (Ceschi et al., 2018). In the ‘80s, the per capita consumption of apples in Italy was 26.5 kg (ISMEA, 1994). In the following years, the number decreased to reach an average of 20 kg per capita per year in 2019, with most of the apples consumed coming from local producers (Coldiretti, 2019; Assomela, 2022). Moreover, Italy is one of the main producers of apples in Europe, with a yearly production of around four million tons (Murder et al., 2022). The majority of the apples produced in Italy are consumed as fresh products, while a small part is transformed into juices, marmalades, or other derivatives (Coldiretti, 2019).

The second objective of the present paper is to provide a comprehensive overview of how eating motivations, food-related behavior (e.g. where people buy apples from), and socio-demographic influences the money spent on fruit and vegetables and the consumption of apples after two years from the beginning of the pandemic. As such, the study aims to identify clusters of individuals according to eating motivations and to infer how socio-demographics and food-related behaviors may be associated with those clusters. Moreover, we aim at comparing the clusters in terms of consumption habits in the Italian market. Understanding the consumers’ motives for shopping behavior is fundamental for companies and policymakers to promote the consumption of fruits and vegetables.

Overall, the study provides both theoretical and practical contributions. The paper contributes to the recent literature about changes in consumption habits due to COVID-19 (e.g. Ammann et al., 2022; Dumitras et al., 2021; Güney and Sangün, 2021; Sooriyaarachchi et al., 2022). In particular, the findings show the long-term effects of the pandemic on consumers' behavior and consumption of fruit and vegetables. Moreover, the study provides practical implications for policymakers and companies operating in the sector. By identifying three clusters of consumers, the paper identifies and describes segments of consumers that could be targeted based on their socio-demographic characteristics and eating motives.

2. Material and methods

2.1 Participants and procedure

As the aim of the study is to test for changes in consumption habits over time, we conducted a longitudinal study asking the same sample of consumers to fill out a questionnaire two times. As such, the data collection was conducted in two separate periods. On December 2021, during one of the Italian lockdowns, 1,000 people were invited to take part in a longitudinal study aimed at evaluating the consumption of apples during the COVID-19 pandemic. Participants were asked to fill out an online self-reported questionnaire on Google Forms in exchange for the chance to win some Amazon vouchers. Like previous studies conducted during COVID-19 restrictions (e.g. Lamy et al., 2022), the recruitment strategy consisted of dissemination of the online survey link through social media (Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter, WhatsApp), through researchers' network (private and official e-mail contacts), and institutional and media sites. Similar to previous literature (Alaimo et al., 2022), the use of a snowball sample allowed us to get access to the consumers while guaranteeing their security during the pandemic conditions.

Out of 1,000 people, 776 adults electronically signed the informed consent form and filled out the first questionnaire (T1). After one year, starting from December 2022 (when the lockdown was over), we contacted the first group's participants again and asked them to fill out the second questionnaire (T2). In total, 651 participants answered both questionnaires and reported that they were eating/buying apples. We conducted all the statistical analyses with this sample.

2.2 Measures

2.2.1 Sociodemographic questions

In both questionnaires, participants reported their demographic information. In particular, participants indicated their gender, age, number of family members, area of residence in Italy, household income, and occupation.

2.2.2 Apple consumption measures

Our key variables of interest are related to the consumption of fruits and vegetables and, more specifically, of apples before and after the pandemic. Thus, participants answered a question on how much of their budget was allocated to fruit and vegetables on a scale 5 points scale (0 = 0–20%, 1 = 20–40%, 2 = 40–60%, 3 = 60–80%, 4 = More than 80%). Moreover, participants rated the weekly frequency of apple consumption on a 3 points scale (0 = I do not consume apples, 1 = between 1 and 3 days per week, 2 = more than 4 times per week). Finally, participants reported the number of apples they were purchasing every time they were going shopping on a 4 points scale (0 = I do not buy apples, 1 = between 1 and 3 apples, 2 = between 4 and 7 apples, 3 = more than 7 apples). Participants answered these three questions both at times T1 and T2. Participants also reported the place where they were purchasing apples (e.g. supermarkets, KM0, fruit sellers, online).

2.2.3 Consumption motivations

In the survey sent at time T2 (i.e. after the lockdown), participants also answered some questions about the motivations to consume apples. To do so, participants answered some items from the Eating Motivation Survey (TEMS – Renner et al., 2012). In particular, we used four scales from the brief version of the TEMS. The scales were chosen to reflect motivations that were deemed particularly relevant for understanding the changes consumers undertake during the pandemic about the specific product (i.e. apples). Dimensions such as sociability or pleasure were considered not appropriate for the aim of the research. The scales included: Health, Natural Concerns, Price, and Convenience. The items, with the mean, standard deviation, and reliability scores are reported in Table 1.

2.3 Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 27.0 software considering an alpha level of 5%. First, we performed a frequency analysis to describe the sample of participants based on the demographic information. The main analysis is divided into two steps.

In the first step, we run a general linear model repeated measures analysis to test for the difference in consumption habits between T1 and T2. First, the analysis was conducted to show the aggregate difference before and after COVID-19. Second, we conducted the same analysis and showed relevant differences based on demographic information (e.g. age and gender).

In the second step, we focused on the consumption behaviors at time T2 and conducted a two-step cluster analysis to distinguish consumer segments (Punj and Stewart, 1983). Average scores for the four eating motives for each of the 651 respondents were used for the cluster analysis.

In the first stage, Ward's hierarchical clustering method with squared Euclidean distances was used to identify clusters. The elbow criterion suggested a 3-cluster solution. In the second stage, a non-hierarchical, k-means clustering procedure (MacQueen, 1965) was used to develop a 3-cluster solution. The final number of clusters was based on the interpretability and reliability of the cluster solution, and the F statistics were also assessed for interpretation purposes. Follow-up analyses were conducted to assess differences between the clusters. In particular, chi-square tests were run to compare the clusters on the demographic information. ANOVA analyses with Bonferroni’s adjustment were conducted to compare the clusters on the outcome variables (i.e. budget allocation, weekly frequency, and amount bought per shopping trip). The steps taken to conduct the analysis are summarized in Figure 1.

3. Results

3.1 Demographic characterization of participants

The final sample of 651 participants had the following characteristics: 52% female, mean age = 27.43 (SD = 11.13), 57% living in the South of Italy, 44% student, median income between €7,500 and €15,000, with an average of 3 people in the family (SD = 1.03), and 57% purchasing apples in supermarkets. The complete information about the demographics is reported in Table 2. The characteristics of the sample are similar to the ones of previous literature on the topic (e.g. Ammann et al., 2022).

3.2 Changes in consumption before and after the lockdown

The results show that participants invested significantly more budget in fruits and vegetables after the lockdown (M = 1.13, SD = 1.33) than before (M = 0.63, SD = 0.94; F(1, 596) = 98.807, p = < 0.001). Moreover, there has been a significant increase in the weekly frequency of apple consumption between T1 (M = 0.69, SD = 0.77) and T2 (M = 1.47, SD = 0.61; F(1, 650 = 410.006, p = < 0.001). Finally, participants also reported that they were buying fewer apples on every shopping trip during the lockdown (M = 2.03, SD = 0.62) than after (M = 2.25, SD = 0.63; F(1, 650) = 77.079, p = < 0.001).

3.2.1 Changes in consumption before and after based on gender

As the number of people who self-identified as “other” was small, we performed the comparison based on gender by including only female and male respondents. In addition to the main effect of time reported in the previous section, a two-way repeated-measure ANOVA on budget allocation showed a significant main effect of gender (F(1, 587) = 5.399, p = 0.020). Male participants were on average allocating a higher budget to fruit and vegetables (M = 0.98, SD = 1.21) than female participants (M = 0.79, SD = 1.42). This main effect was qualified by a significant interaction (F(1, 587) = 5.767, p = 0.017). While male participants (M = 0.80, SD = 0.93) were allocating more budget than females at T1 (M = 0.49, SD = 0.94; p = < 0.001), the difference becomes not significant at T2 (p = 0.536). The results are graphically presented in Figure 2. The other set of contrasts revealed that both male and female participants spent more on fruits and vegetables at T2 than at T1.

The results show no significant differences between females and males nor significant interaction effect on the weekly consumption of apples and the amount purchased at each shopping trip. These findings are different from previous literature which observed that men have a lower tendency to consume apples than women (Konopacka et al., 2010). The difference might be due to the different consumption habits in the last decade among consumers.

3.2.2 Changes in consumption before and after based on age

To analyze the difference in consumption based on age, we created three age groups: below 30 years old, between 30 and 50 years old, and above 50 years old. In addition to the main effect of time reported in the previous section, a two-way repeated-measure ANOVA on budget allocation showed a significant main effect of age (F(2, 586) = 53.076, p = < 0.001). Participants between 30 and 50 were on average allocating a higher budget to fruit and vegetables (M = 1.40, SD = 1.42) than younger participants (M = 0.60, SD = 0.90) and older participants (M = 0.56, SD = 0.89). This main effect was qualified by a significant interaction (F(2, 586) = 72.294, p = < 0.001). Participants between 30 and 50 were spending less on fruits and vegetables at T1 (M = 0.79, SD = 1.16) than at T2 (M = 2.02, SD = 1.51). For the other groups, there was no significant difference between T1 and T2. The results are graphically shown in Figure 3. Looking at the other set of contrasts, both at T1 and T2, participants between 30 and 50 were significantly more likely to spend on fruits and vegetables than the other two groups.

The results show no significant interaction effect of age and time on the weekly consumption of apples and the amount purchased on each shopping trip. However, the results indicate that only people below 50 increased the number of apples purchased on each trip before and after Covid-19. The difference was not significant for the participants above 50 years old. The findings are in line with previous literature that shows that younger generations are less likely to spend money on fruits and vegetables (e.g. Pérez-Rodrigo et al., 2003). Moreover, the findings show that people above 50 were not much affected by COVID-19 lockdowns in terms of consumption habits.

3.3 Consumer cluster after the lockdown

Table 3 shows the results of the K-means cluster analysis used to identify the groups of participants based on similar eating motivation variables at T2. The analysis of the cluster centers and F statistics identified three meaningful clusters that differed according to the eating motives. The taxonomy description of the three clusters were: Cluster 1 (labeled “Practical consumer”; n = 168) was characterized by people who focus on how the apples are easily consumed or easy to prepare. Cluster 2 (labeled “Healthy consumer”; n = 216) was characterized by consumers who care about their health and having a healthy diet. Finally, Cluster 3 (labeled “Price sensitive consumer”; n = 267) was characterized by people whose consumption is related to the product’s price.

Table 4 shows the characteristics of the clusters according to sociodemographic aspects and consumption habits. The clusters did not differ according to the main demographic information except for geographical area and place of shopping. In particular, clusters 2 and 3 included more participants from the South than cluster 1. When it comes to places of shopping, cluster 1 has more people who use online shopping than the other two clusters. Moreover, people in clusters 2 and 3 are more likely to purchase from KM0 companies than people in cluster 1.

When clusters were compared for consumption habits after the pandemic, the results show that cluster 2 allocated less budget to fruits and vegetables than the other two clusters. There was no significant difference in budget allocation between clusters 1 and 3. Moreover, the three clusters did not differ in terms of the weekly consumption of apples. However, the three clusters behave differently in relation to the number of apples purchased on every shopping trip. In particular, cluster 1 purchased significantly fewer apples than cluster 2.

Overall, our main findings can be summarized in three key points. First, the results point to a difference in consumption habits and budget allocation between T1 and T2. In particular, after the lockdown, there has been an increase in the allocation of the budget to fruit and vegetables. Moreover, people have, on average, increased the consumption of apples and the number of apples purchased during every shopping trip.

Second, the change in the budget allocated was different based on the gender and age of the participants. In particular, while male participants were allocating more budget at T1, the difference becomes not significant at T2, signaling higher spending for fruit and vegetables in female participants. Moreover, people between 30 and 50 years old showed the highest increase in budget allocation.

Finally, based on the eating motivations at T2, we were able to identify three clusters that differ in consumption and food-related behavior. In particular, the “price-sensitive” consumer is identified as a consumer from the South of Italy, who buy apples from the fruit seller. Price-sensitive consumers have similar consumption habits to the “practical” consumer, who never buys KM0 products. Both clusters allocate more budget to fruits and vegetables than “healthy” consumers. However, differently from the other two clusters, healthy consumers usually purchase a higher number of apples per shopping trip. Across the three clusters, we did not find any difference based on the demographic characteristics of the sample.

4. Discussion and implications

The pandemic has led to many changes in consumption and eating habits, with an increasing trend in buying healthier products (Coulthard et al., 2021). This trend has been justified for two main reasons. On the one hand, consumers have become more aware of the importance of adopting a healthy diet to keep the immune system in good health (Campos et al., 2022). On the other hand, the need to buy local fresh products has grown, especially due to travel restrictions and difficulties in international trade (Ammann et al., 2022; Ghufran et al., 2022a; Kol et al., 2023). For these reasons, many studies have focused on changes in consumption styles during and after the first Covid-19 global lockdown (e.g. Filimonau et al., 2022; Ghufran et al., 2022b; Başaran and Purut, 2021; Lamy et al., 2022; Chenarides et al., 2021). However, existing knowledge about the changes in food consumption over a long period of time after the pandemic event is scarce. In this research, we aim to address this gap by investigating whether the changes in consumption habits have had long-lasting consequences beyond 2020. Moreover, in the study, we investigated whether the consumption habits are similar across consumers or whether some groups have been more affected by the pandemic event than others.

Our findings provide both theoretical and practical contributions. First, we contribute to the current literature about changes in consumption habits. The results from a sample of 651 Italian consumers showed that the consumption of fruit and vegetables, especially apples, significantly increased between 2021 and 2022. The findings are in line with other trends observed globally. For example, Isaskar and Perwitasari (2021) show that the Covid-19 pandemic has led to a change in consumption style and that consumers have oriented their diet toward healthier and more nutritious foods, which a specific increase in the consumption of fruit and vegetables. Moreover, according to Revoredo-Giha et al. (2022), there has been a significant increase in spending on domestic consumption of both fruit and vegetables during the pandemic period. However, the per capita expenditure on fresh fruit and vegetables in the fourth quarter of 2020 grew less than the per capita expenditure on other food products. Our results are also consistent with studies conducted by Sooriyaarachchi et al. (2022) whose findings show that the consumption of locally produced fruit and vegetables during the pandemic period has increased considerably.

The increase in consumption of fruits and vegetables during and after the first lockdown was also observed in Italy. In particular, previous research has observed that the change in Italians' interest in healthy eating might explain the different consumption patterns (Maugeri et al., 2023). However, in the post-lockdown period in 2020, the new healthy consumption model acquired by Italians was partially interrupted (Caso et al., 2022). According to these authors, the changes in consumption were driven not by an increase in healthier food consumption after the lockdown but by a continuous decrease in the intake of “junk” food during the lockdown. Thus, we expand the current literature by showing that the change in recent times is not only related to the reduction in the consumption of junk food but also to an increase in healthier options that seem to be a stable trend almost two years after the beginning of the pandemic.

Second, our results also expand the literature on the differences in consumption habits depending on people’s sociodemographic characteristics. The findings show that while male consumers were allocating more budget to fruits and vegetables during the lockdown, the difference disappears after the lockdown. Thus, female consumers have been starting to allocate more budget to fruits and vegetables as a result of the lockdown. The results are in line with previous literature which shows that female consumers are more likely to buy and consume fruit and vegetables than male consumers (Ahmadi Kaliji et al., 2022; Mngomezulu et al., 2022).

The empirical results also showed that participants belonging to the age group between 30 and 50 allocated on average a larger budget for fruit and vegetables than the other two groups. This effect was qualified by a significant interaction, in which this age group spent less on fruit and vegetables than the other groups during the lockdown and more when the Covid-19 health emergency ended. These results provide new insights as current findings mostly focus on documenting the fact that people above 50 are more likely to consume fruit and vegetables than younger generations (Lee et al., 2022).

Finally, from the identification of the three clusters of consumers (1) practical, (2) healthy, and (3) price-sensitive, it emerged that health-conscious consumers have bought significantly more apples since the post-lockdown. However, the other two clusters have increased the overall budget allocated to fruits and vegetables. The findings expand the current knowledge about consumers' habits and provide new insights into the knowledge on what consumers do and where they purchase fruit and vegetables.

The paper also enriches scientific knowledge about the dynamics of consumer preferences and consumption, contributing to the definition of food and public health policies aimed at promoting correct and healthy eating behaviors and styles. Therefore, the results of this study could have important social and economic implications related to the consumption of apples. In particular, the observation that consumers belonging to the “health” cluster tend to buy a greater number of apples could open up a new market potential for sector operators.

The main implications of the study on the theoretical point of view could be summarized in the following considerations: the study contributes to the understanding of how a global pandemic like COVID-19 can have enduring effects on consumer behavior. It highlights that changes in consumption patterns observed during and after the initial lockdown have persisted over an extended period. The study reinforces the idea that health-conscious consumption has become a prevailing trend. Consumers are increasingly prioritizing healthier food options, as evidenced by the increased budget allocation for fruits and vegetables. The identification of distinct consumer clusters based on eating motivations provides a valuable tool for market segmentation and targeted marketing strategies.

The main implications of the study on the practical and political point of view could be: food companies and retailers can use the findings to adapt their marketing and communication strategies. Understanding the increased focus on health-conscious consumption and recognizing that “health-conscious consumers” tend to buy more apples can prompt product development and marketing campaigns focused on the health benefits of apples. Health authorities and policymakers can use the study's insights to design public health initiatives that encourage healthier eating habits. Promoting the consumption of fruits and vegetables, particularly among specific age and gender groups, can be a part of broader public health campaigns. Governments can invest in educational programs that raise awareness about the importance of a balanced diet and the health benefits of fruits and vegetables. These programs can target specific demographics identified in the study, such as age and gender groups. The study's insights can be used to develop food security initiatives that ensure access to affordable, healthy food options for vulnerable populations. Policymakers can also support further research and data collection on dietary habits to continually refine policies and interventions. Longitudinal studies can help track changes in eating patterns and their impact on public health.

However, it must be emphasized that further research is needed to assess whether this changed consumer attitude will remain stable over time. Only through in-depth and continuous analysis, it will be possible to fully grasp the opportunities that emerge from the change in consumption habits and anticipate market trends.

5. Conclusions, limitations, and future research directions

The paper analyzed the long-term impact of the lockdown during and after the COVID-19 pandemic on food consumption. The research shows a significant increase in the budget for the purchase of fruit and vegetables after the lockdown, together with an increase in the consumption of apples. Moreover, the study investigated the socio-demographic and eating motives that predict consumption choices after the lockdown.

Despite the relevance of our findings, the study comes with some limitations. First, given the lack of data, we were not able to compare consumption motives before and after the lockdown but we only focused on the drivers of consumption after the lockdown. Also, the study adopts a non-probabilistic sample (a snowball sample approach) which comes with its own limitations such as the fact that not all members of a group have an equal chance of being selected. The sample group is not chosen through random selection, making it susceptible to a margin of error. Future studies could implement an experimental approach to test for the causal effects of our findings and adopt a probabilistic sample technique.

Moreover, although we collected information about the budget for fruits and vegetables, we collected information only on the consumption of apples. Future studies could expand our findings to different product categories and include other consumption motives. Finally, our data collection focuses on the Italian market in a specific historical period and under specific regulations (e.g. the COVID-19 pandemic). However, future studies on these topics should be conducted outside Italy, in non-western cultures, to investigate the generalizability of our findings and test for possible cross-cultural differences. For instance, in regions where apple consumption is less common, people highly committed to eating healthy may engage in different motivated-cognitive processes than the ones discussed in this study. Moreover, other regulations in the market might affect the consumption habits of consumers.

Figures

Steps of the analysis

Figure 1

Steps of the analysis

Differences in budget allocation between T1 and T2 across gender

Figure 2

Differences in budget allocation between T1 and T2 across gender

Differences in budget between T1 and T2 across age

Figure 3

Differences in budget between T1 and T2 across age

TEMS sub scales

TEMS sub scalesItemsMSDReliability
Health α = 0.828
To maintain a balanced diet5.321.29
Because it is healthy4.961.15
Because it keeps me in shape (e.g. Energetic, and motivated)5.301.23
Natural concerns α = 0.933
Because it is natural (e.g. Not genetically modified)4.951.20
Because it contains no harmful substances (e.g. Pesticides, pollutants, antibiotics)4.941.13
Because it is organic5.191.28
Price α = 0.985
Because it is inexpensive4.471.40
Because I don’t want to spend any more money4.511.38
Because it is on sale4.451.45
Convenience α = 0.969
Because it is quick to prepare4.191.20
Because it is the most convenient4.181.21
Because it is easy to prepare4.221.23

Source(s): Authors’ work

Participants' demographic characteristics

Parameters N (%)
GenderMale301 (46%)
Female340 (52%)
Other10 (2%)
AgeBelow 30330 (51%)
30–50245 (38%)
Above 5076 (11%)
OccupationStudent284 (44%)
Full-time employed138 (21%)
Freelancer150 (23%)
Homemaker48 (7%)
Unemployed31 (5%)
Income0–7,50049 (7%)
7,501–15,000165 (25%)
15,001–25,000246 (38%)
25,001–35,000121 (19%)
More than 35,00170 (11%)
Family size (including the respondent)133 (5%)
278 (12%)
3210 (32%)
4252 (39%)
5 or more78 (12%)
Area of residenceNorth187 (29%)
Center92 (14%)
South372 (57%)
Place of shoppingKM056 (8%)
Online30 (5%)
Supermarket371 (57%)
Fruit seller194 (30%)

Source(s): Authors’ work

Final cluster centers of TEMS variables

Cluster 1
Practical consumer (n = 168)
Cluster 2
Healthy consumer (n = 216)
Cluster 3
Price sensitive consumer (n = 267)
F Statistics
TEMS_Health−0.930.54−0.23209.040
TEMS_Natural Concerns−1.190.380.48316.514
TEMS_Price−0.25−0.280.99124.171
TEMS_Convenience0.89−0.06−0.88194.573

Source(s): Authors’ work

Consumer characteristics by cluster

Cluster 1
Practical consumer (n = 168)
Cluster 2
Healthy consumer (n = 216)
Cluster 3
Price sensitive consumer (n = 267)
Chi square (df); pANOVA (df); p
Demographic informationGenderMale711011297.17 (4)
Female91113136p = 0.127
Other622
AgeBelow 30781211316.25 (4)
30–507368104p = 0.181
Above 50172732
OccupationStudent641051155.72 (8)
Full-time employed141321p = 0.678
Freelancer384159
Homemaker444561
Unemployed81211
Income0–7,5001116224.95 (8)
7,501–15,000435369p = 0.762
15,001–25,0005885103
25,001–35,000353551
More than 35,001212722
Family size (including the respondent)19101412.34 (8)
2182733p = 0.137
3547581
4777897
5 or more102642
Area of residenceNorth6162649.28 (4)
Center252641p = 0.054
South82128372
Place of shoppingKM00282773.19 (8)
Online2109P = < 0.001
Supermarket112126134
Fruit seller356297
Consumption habits at T2Budget allocated M = 1.28M = 0.87M = 1.30 F(2, 625) = 7.167
(SD = 1.41)(SD = 1.22)(SD = 1.35)p = < 0.001
Weekly consumption M = 1.43M = 1.50M = 1.48 F(2, 650) = 0.592
(SD = 0.595)(SD = 0.595)(SD = 0.645)p = 0.553
Number of apples purchased on every trip M = 2.15M = 2.32M = 2.24 F(2, 650) = 3.624
(SD = 0.543)(SD = 0.592)(SD = 0.713)p = 0.027
Clustering variablesTEMS_Health M = 4.23M = 5.45M = 5.59 F(2, 650) = 132.340
(SD = 1.06)(SD = 1.08)(SD = 0.54)p = < 0.001
TEMS_Natural Concerns M = 3.66M = 5.64M = 5.39 F(2, 650) = 342.466
(SD = 0.88)(SD = 0.80)(SD = 0.72)p = < 0.001
TEMS_Price M = 4.13M = 3.48M = 5.50 F(2, 650) = 224.698
(SD = 1.31)(SD = 0.93)(SD = 0.99)p = < 0.001
TEMS_Convinience M = 5.23M = 3.29M = 4.27 F(2, 650) = 210.904
(SD = 0.83)(SD = 0.76)(SD = 1.07)p = < 0.001

Source(s): Authors’ work

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Corresponding author

Carlo Giannetto can be contacted at: giannettoc@unime.it

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