Understanding the intention to use commodity futures contracts

Abstract

Purpose

Adoption rates of commodity futures contracts among farmers are rather low in Europe despite their political support. The purpose of this paper is to examine whether the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) can contribute to the understanding of farmers’ intention to use commodity futures contracts. Here, the authors explicitly distinguish between usage motives for price risk reduction and speculation.

Design/methodology/approach

The study is based on an online survey with 134 German farmers using partial least squares structural equation modeling to estimate the TAM.

Findings

The intention to use commodity futures contracts is mostly driven by farmers’ motivation for speculation rather than price risk reduction. Assuming risk averse farmers, this result could explain low adoption rates. Furthermore, perceived ease of use has a positive effect on the intention to use commodity futures contracts.

Practical implications

Handling of price hedging instruments should be facilitated to increase farmers’ adoption. Effective marketing trainings, which can demonstrate the ability of commodity futures contracts to reduce price risk, could increase farmers’ motivation to use them for their risk management instead of speculation.

Originality/value

This study analyzes path relationships between constructs expected to influence the intention to use commodity futures contracts which are allowed to be estimated by the TAM in one model. Here, the authors explicitly distinguish between usage motives for price risk reduction and speculation. This is the first study applying the TAM to price risk management tools.

Citation

Michels, M., Möllmann, J. and Musshoff, O. (2019), "Understanding the intention to use commodity futures contracts", Agricultural Finance Review, Vol. 79 No. 5, pp. 582-597. https://doi.org/10.1108/AFR-02-2019-0025