Direct maintenance cost prediction of civil aircraft
Aircraft Engineering and Aerospace Technology
ISSN: 0002-2667
Article publication date: 26 August 2014
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to analyze parameters that influence direct maintenance cost (DMC) in the civil aircraft operational phase. Reducing direct maintenance cost of civil aircrafts is one of the important ways to improve economy. DMC prediction can provide decision support for the optimization of the design parameters optimization to realize the objection in decreasing the maintenance cost, and it can also improve the aircraft competitiveness.
Design/methodology/approach
The paper analyzes some parameters comprehensively, which influence DMC in the civil aircraft’s operational phase. Based on the analysis of the influential parameters and the characteristics of data in the period of civil aircraft’s designing period, the paper presents prediction support method based on fuzzy support vector machine (FSVM) and realizes quantitative forecast of DMC in the aircraft design phase.
Findings
The paper presents the process of DMC analysis and model in the aircraft design phase, the DMC prediction model is used in newly developed aircrafts.
Practical implications
The numerical examples using B737NP fleet data in the paper have proved the effectiveness of the proposed method.
Originality/value
The paper establishes the prediction model of civil aircraft DMC based on FSVM. The model can handle fuzzy data and small sample data which contain noise. The results prove that the method can satisfy the demand of the real data in civil aircraft designing.
Keywords
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation and Aviation Fund of China 60879001 and U1233115, Jiangsu Natural Science Foundation (BK2009378) and Qinglan Project.
Citation
Wang, H., Gao, J. and Wu, H. (2014), "Direct maintenance cost prediction of civil aircraft", Aircraft Engineering and Aerospace Technology, Vol. 86 No. 5, pp. 406-414. https://doi.org/10.1108/AEAT-11-2012-0209
Publisher
:Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2014, Emerald Group Publishing Limited