In this paper, a model to estimate travel time reliability is proposed assuming a stochastic user equilibrium. Travel time reliability is defined as the probability that travel time between the origin and destination does not exceed a standard travel time corresponding to each service level. Also it is shown how to calculate travel time reliability in a large-scale network. This model is applied to the road network in the Hanshin area to evaluate new lines in the national road plan from the viewpoint of travel time reliability. Some important links and lines in the future road network are evaluated from the viewpoint of travel time reliability.
The author would like to acknowledge Prof. Iida of Kyoto University and Prof. Bell of Imperial College London, for their meaningful suggestions and encouragement in the study.
Inouye, H. (2003), "An Evaluation of the Reliability of Travel Time in Road Networks Based on Stochastic User Equilibrium", Bell, M.G.H. and Iida, Y. (Ed.) The Network Reliability of Transport, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, pp. 79-92. https://doi.org/10.1108/9781786359544-005Download as .RIS
Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2016 Emerald Group Publishing Limited