Prelims

Strategic Airport Planning

ISBN: 978-0-58-547441-0, eISBN: 978-0-08-042764-5

Publication date: 31 March 1997

Citation

Caves, R. and Gosling, G. (1997), "Prelims", Strategic Airport Planning, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Leeds, p. i. https://doi.org/10.1108/9780585474410-016

Publisher

:

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 1999 Emerald Group Publishing Limited


Prelims

Half Title Page

Strategic Airport Planning

Disclaimer Page

Cover photo © 1995 SoftKey International Inc.

Plan of Austin-Bergstrom International Airport reproduced with permission.

Title Page

Strategic Airport Planning

Robert E. Caves

Department of Aeronautical and Automotive Engineering and Transport Studies Loughborough University of Technology Loughborough, Leicester, U.K.

Geoffrey D, Gosling

Institute of Transportation Studies University of California Berkeley, CA, U.S.A.

United Kingdom – North America – Japan

India – Malaysia – China

Copyright Page

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Howard House, Wagon Lane, Bingley BD16 1WA, UK

Copyright © 1999 Emerald Group Publishing Limited

No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, transmitted in any form or by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without either the prior written permission of the publisher or a licence permitting restricted copying issued in the UK by The Copyright Licensing Agency and in the USA by The Copyright Clearance Center. No responsibility is accepted for the accuracy of information contained in the text, illustrations or advertisements. The opinions expressed in these chapters are not necessarily those of the Editor or the publisher.

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

ISBN: 978-0-58-547441-0

List of Tables

Table 3.1 Styles of planning 46
Table 3.2 The strategic planning process 47
Table 3.3 UK airport annual passengers and growth by size class 54
Table 4.1 Percentage of short haul flights in western Europe and the USA by market type. 75
Table 4.2 Comparative European hub performance 78
Table 4.3 General Aviation activity in the United States 86
Table 5.1 Economic impacts of two major US airports 105
Table 5.2 Monthly trips per employee in high technology industries 106
Table 6.1 FAA project appraisal weightings 150
Table 6.2 Criteria for evaluating projects 151
Table 6.3 Stand productivity per turnround 159
Table 7.1 Travel choice model parameter comparison 181
Table 8.1 Passenger growth (%) at European airports, 1994/1993 203
Table 9.1 Flight Plan Phase III alternatives 265
Table 10.1 The Roskill Commission cost benefit analysis 276
Table 10.2 Comparative growth factors, 1994/1990 a) Scheduled b) Charter 284
Table 10.3 Traffic projections with and without expansion at Heathrow a) The base case b) The Heathrow option 293
Table 10.4 Seat factors and yields at Gatwick relative to Heathrow 302
Table 11.1 European airport runway capacity utilisation 332
Table 11.2 UK international scheduled traffic 33

List of Figures

Figure 1.1 Historic trend in real fares 2
Figure 1.2 Worldwide traffic growth 2
Figure 2.1 Change in noise impact at Heathrow 23
Figure 3.1 Dimensions of airport system planning 41
Figure 3.2 The continuous planning process 44
Figure 3.3 Planning relationships 45
Figure 3.4 Risk criteria for communities around airports 66
Figure 4.1 The effect of hubbing on narrowbody turnround times 96
Figure 5.1 Options for Manchester's new runway 123
Figure 6.1 Operating costs of UK airports, 1994/95 a) Operating expenditure b) Operating expenditure per work load unit 135
Figure 6.2 Operating surplus per work load unit 142
Figure 7.1 Conversion of Bergstrom Air Force Base, Austin, Texas 168
Figure 7.2 Typical ratios of annual to peak hour traffic 174
Figure 9.1 MSP 2005 noise contours - No action alternative 238
Figure 9.2 MSP airport configuration - No action alternative 239
Figure 9.3 Proposed MSP development alternative 245
Figure 9.4 Location of new airport alternative 246
Figure 9.5 MSP 2010 Long-Term Comprehensive Plan 248
Figure 9.6 MSP 2020 Concept Plan 249
Figure 9.7 Projected average aircraft delay at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport 255
Figure 9.8 Flight Plan Project Schedule 256
Figure 9.9 Forecast of air travel demand - Puget Sound Region 259
Figure 9.10 Locations of alternative airport sites - Puget Sound Region 264
Figure 10.1 The London area airports 274
Figure 10.2 Third parallel runway options for Heathrow 286
Figure 10.3 Cumulative percentage departures per week at Heathrow 287
Figure 10.4 Shares of London Airport passengers 297
Figure 10.5 Stansted shares of origin zone passengers  
  a) International scheduled trips through Stansted from surrounding zones 298
  b) International charter trips through Stansted from surrounding zones 299
Figure 10.6 Gatwick share of London domestic routes 300
Figure 10.7 Gatwick share of London international routes 301
Figure 10.8 Effect of frequency on Gatwick share of London short haul market 301
Figure 10.9 Regional shares of UK international markets a) Scheduled passengers b) Charter passengers 309
Figure 13.1 Traffic at southern Scottish airports 373
Figure 13.2 Traffic at Belfast airports 374
Figure 13.3 Traffic at New York airports 376
Figure 13.4 Traffic at Sao Paulo and Rio 378
Figure 13.5 Traffic at Paris airports 379
Figure 13.6 Traffic at Montreal and Toronto 381
Figure 13.7 Shares of regional passengers 382
Figure 13.8 Liverpool shares of northwest passengers 383
Figure 13.9 Leeds/Bradford shares of northwest passengers 383

Preface

The aim of the book is to identify the strengths and weaknesses of past strategic planning of airport systems, and to attempt to provide guidance on how the concept of strategic system planning can be used to advantage in the future. It is an attempt to return to the ground which was so well covered some 20 years ago by Richard de Neufville in his book: “Airport System Planning”. The need to update and extend this work, as well as the challenge in doing so, arise from the subsequent changes in the structure of the air transport industry and the contexts within which it must work. The industry is increasingly becoming liberalised, privatised and globalised. However, the intended competition is sometimes seriously constrained by lack of physical and environmental capacity or by the economic forces that shape the behaviour of the operators. At the same time, the planning context is becoming more sensitive to sustainability issues and to calls for integrated transport solutions to address increasing levels of congestion.

The need for a strategic systems view has never been greater, as entrepreneurial stakeholders attempt to create and take advantage of their own comparative advantages. Those in government need to understand the system behaviour and the extent to which it may be necessary to intervene in the provision of facilities, and how air transport may best be fitted into other transport policies, Equally, the entrepreneurs need to understand what their natural roles may be and what they would need to do to move away from those roles.

The content of the book stems from studying past attempts to prepare national and regional strategic system plans in a variety of contexts, as well as from noting the lack of a systems context in many individual airport master planning studies. The ideas presented in this book have been honed by discussions with colleagues and students on postgraduate and short courses in Berkeley, Loughborough and ITA in Brazil, as well as numerous professional colleagues throughout the aviation industry, though all responsibility for these ideas rests with the authors. Among those at Loughborough who have influenced the work are Norman Ashford, David Gillingwater, Lloyd Jenkinson and David Pitfield. Colleagues at Berkeley whose work and ideas have shaped the thinking in this book include David Gillen, Mark Hansen and Adib Kanafani. Thanks go to them, to Henrique Gennari whose PhD helped to structure some of the strategic planning ideas, to Darren Rhodes for his PhD work on an integrated aircraft design model, and to all others whose work has been relevant, whether it is attributed in the text or has trickled into our consciousness in a less formal way. Thanks also to Mary Ashworth who compiled and formatted the text. Finally, thanks to those whose lives have been so disrupted by the prolonged production of the text, namely Anna Caves and Katie Korzun, without whose tolerance and good humour the task would never have been completed.