Prelims

Autonomous Driving

ISBN: 978-1-78714-834-5, eISBN: 978-1-78714-833-8

Publication date: 18 April 2018

Citation

Herrmann, A., Brenner, W. and Stadler, R. (2018), "Prelims", Autonomous Driving, Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. i-xiv. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78714-833-820181046

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2018 Emerald Publishing Limited


Half Title Page

AUTONOMOUS DRIVING

How the Driverless Revolution Will Change the World

Title Page

AUTONOMOUS DRIVING

How the Driverless Revolution Will Change the World

BY

ANDREAS HERRMANN

WALTER BRENNER

RUPERT STADLER

United Kingdom – North America – Japan – India – Malaysia – China

Copyright Page

Emerald Publishing Limited

Howard House, Wagon Lane, Bingley BD16 1WA, UK

First edition 2018

Copyright © 2018 Emerald Publishing Limited

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ISBN: 978-1-78714-834-5 (Print)

ISBN: 978-1-78714-833-8 (Online)

ISBN: 978-1-78743-268-0 (Epub)

Acknowledgements

This book could never have been written without the inspiring and instructive discussions we had with some special people. They are all outstanding experts who will have a major impact on the many facets of autonomous driving in the coming years. With their experience and knowledge, they are making significant contributions to putting self-driving vehicles on our roads. They aren’t just interested in the technology, but always emphasise the social and economic aspects as well. We thank all of them for taking the time to share their knowledge and convictions with us. Excerpts from those discussions are presented throughout the book.

Jan Becker, Dr. Senior Director, Faraday Future, Los Angeles, California, USA
Ofer Ben-Noon Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer, Argus Cyber Security, Tel Aviv, Israel
Jose Castillo Design Critic in Urban Planning and Design, Harvard University, Graduate School of Design, Boston, Massachusetts, USA, and architect in Mexico City, Mexico
Joseph Curtatone Mayor of the City of Somerville, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Volkmar Denner, Dr. Chairman of the Board of Management of Robert Bosch GmbH, Stuttgart, Germany
Claus Doll, Dr. Head of Mobility Research, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research, Karlsruhe, Germany
Joachim Drees Chief Executive Officer of MAN SE and MAN Truck & Bus, Munich, Germany
Nicholas Epley, Dr. John Templeton Keller Professor of Behavioral Science, University of Chicago, Booth School of Business, Chicago, Illinois, USA
Carol A. Flannagan, Dr. Co-Director, Center for the Management of Information for Safe and Sustainable Transportation at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
Iain Forbes Head of the United Kingdom Government’s Centre for Connected and Autonomous Vehicles in the Department for Transport, London, United Kingdom
Emilio Frazzoli, Dr. Founder and Chief Technical Officer, NuTonomy, Cambridge, Massachusetts, Professor of Dynamic Systems and Control, ETH Zürich, Switzerland
Dieter Fröhlich Data Protection Officer, Audi, Ingolstadt, Germany
Oliver Gassmann, Dr. Professor and Director, Institute of Technology Management, University of St. Gallen, Switzerland, former Chief Technical Officer at Schindler, Lucerne, Switzerland
Peter Gladbach, Dr. Attorney-at-Law (Germany), Head of Legal Advice on Digitization, Antitrust Law, Office Management, Audi, Ingolstadt, Germany
Erik Glaser Principal Product Designer, Volkswagen Group of America, San Francisco, California, USA
Henrik Henriksson Chief Executive Officer, Scania, Södertälje, Sweden
Heinrich Hiesinger, Dr. Chief Executive Officer, ThyssenKrupp, Düsseldorf, Germany
Lutz Junge Principal Engineer, Electronics Research Lab, Volkswagen Group of America, San Francisco, California, USA
Kristin Kolodge Executive Director, Driver Interaction and Human Machine Interface, J. D. Power, Westlake Village, California, USA
Martin Kolmar, Dr. Professor of Economics, University of St. Gallen, Switzerland
Hartmut Kremling Engineering Consultant for 5G, Internet of Things and autonomous and connected Driving, Dresden, Germany
Brett Lantz Associate Director of Analytics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
Patrick Little Senior Vice President and General Manager, Automotive, Qualcomm Technologies Inc., San Diego, California, USA
Jun Ma, Dr. Professor and Director, School of Automotive Studies, Tongji University, Shanghai, China
Andreas Meyer Chief Executive Officer, Swiss Railway Corporation, Bern, Switzerland
Julian Nida-Rümelin, Dr. Professor of Philosophy, Ludwig-Maximilian University of Munich, former Federal Minister of Culture and Media, Berlin, Germany
Jörg Ohlsen Chief Executive Officer, Edag Engineering, Wiesbaden, Germany
Philip Parsons Chief Executive Officer, Parsons Consulting, Somerville, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Markwart von Pentz President, Agriculture and Turf, Europe, Asia, Africa, John Deere & Company, Mannheim, Germany
Jack Pokrzywa Director, Society of American Engineers International (SAE), Troy, Michigan, USA
Kristof Polmans Head of Innovation and Technology, ThyssenKrupp Steering, Eschen, Liechtenstein
Christian Purucker, Dr. Centre for Traffic Sciences, University of Wuerzburg, Germany
Andreas Reich Head of Predevelopment Electronics, Audi, Ingolstadt, Germany
Hartmut Rosa, Dr. Professor of Sociology, University of Jena, Germany
Domenico Savarese Former Global Head of Telematics, Zurich Insurance Group, Switzerland, now Global Head of Products Strategy, Swiss Re, Zürich, Switzerland
Amnon Shashua, Dr. Co-founder, Chief Technical Officer and Chairman of Mobileye, Sachs Chair Professor in Computer Science, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel
Houchan Shoeibi President, Saint-Gobain Sekurit, Paris, France
Florian, Stahl, Dr. Professor of Quantitative Marketing and Consumer Analytics, University of Mannheim, Germany
Othmar Wickenheiser, Dr. Professor of Design, Munich University of Applied Sciences, Germany
Isabelle Wildhaber, Dr. Professor of Private and Business Law, Director, Institute for Labor Law and the World of Work, University of St. Gallen, Switzerland
Matthias Wissmann President of the German Association of the Automotive Industry (VDA), former Federal Minister of Research and Technology and Federal Minister of Transportation, Berlin, Germany

Preface

Writing a book about autonomous driving is quite a challenge, because new findings on the subject – often contradictory – are appearing every day. Ideas, concepts and technologies relating to self-driving vehicles are emerging all over the world and it is hardly possible to gain a detailed overview of them all. So this book cannot aim to be an entirely consistent description that is accurate in every detail, but is more like the collected journals of an expedition that is not yet completed. It was worthwhile setting out on this expedition, because there is probably no other technology that will so fundamentally transform our economic and social lives. The time has come to address the subject of autonomous mobility and to make it the subject of social discourse, thus contributing to changing our lives for the better.

Examining this subject was also quite an experience for the authors, because it’s about software, sensors and algorithms only at first glance. The underlying narratives about new opportunities (and also risks) offered by autonomous driving are far more exciting. Rupert Stadler, as CEO of Audi, is faced with the challenge of guiding a globally leading automobile company into the digital age. This requires a gigantic transformation process, which will change the company’s culture and organisation as well as its products. Andreas Herrmann, Professor of Marketing, has experienced in the slums of São Paulo how mobility is a precondition for work and prosperity. If we succeed in using autonomous driving to move people faster and further, they can find better work, escape poverty and take control of their lives. Walter Brenner, Professor of Information Management, is fascinated by the speed and intensity of automotive digitisation. In collaboration with colleagues in start-ups in Silicon Valley and at Stanford University, he has found out that information technology will no longer be added to the car, but that the car will be built around the information technology.

Many employees, colleagues, experts and outstanding personalities in the fields of politics, business and society have collaborated on this book. We thank them all for contributing their knowledge and experience. The comments from our colleague Professor Hubert Österle and the wide-ranging research on pictures and texts by Nicola Schweitzer, Cynthia Sokoll, Barbara Rohner and Manuel Holler were particularly valuable. Finally, we appreciate the enthusiastic support of Pete Baker at Emerald and especially his patience, as we repeatedly had to tell him that it would take us a bit longer because new findings had become available.

We hope our work has resulted in a book that illuminates this very important subject from various perspectives and contributes towards an open, honest and broad-based discussion about the opportunities and risks of autonomous driving. We authors are euphoric and convinced of this technology’s potential. But we have doubts and concerns as well, which are also expressed in this book.

Andreas Herrmann

Walter Brenner

Rupert Stadler

Prelims
Part 1 Evolutions and Revolutions in Mobility
Chapter 1 Autonomous Driving Is a Reality
Chapter 2 Facts about Human Driving
Chapter 3 Megatrends in Mobility
Chapter 4 Disruptions in Mobility
Part 2 Perspectives on Autonomous Driving
Chapter 5 History
Chapter 6 Levels
Chapter 7 Visions
Chapter 8 Economics
Chapter 9 Roadmap
Part 3 Technology of Autonomous Driving
Chapter 10 Model
Chapter 11 The Digitised Car
Chapter 12 The Connected Car
Chapter 13 Cyber Security and Data Privacy
Part 4 Arena of Autonomous Driving
Chapter 14 Fields
Chapter 15 Stakeholders
Chapter 16 Players
Part 5 Customers and Their Mobility Behaviour
Chapter 17 The Problem with Mobility
Chapter 18 Mobility as Social Interaction
Chapter 19 Customers’ Expectations
Chapter 20 Use Cases for Autonomous Driving
Chapter 21 Can Autonomous Driving Fail?
Chapter 22 New Types, New Segments
Part 6 Framework Conditions for Autonomous Driving
Chapter 23 Protection and Liability
Chapter 24 Norms and Standards
Chapter 25 Ethics and Morals
Part 7 Impact on Vehicles
Chapter 26 The Vehicle as an Ecosystem
Chapter 27 Vehicle Design
Chapter 28 Human–Machine Interaction
Chapter 29 Time, Cost and Safety
Part 8 Impact on Companies
Chapter 30 Business Models
Chapter 31 Value Chains
Chapter 32 The Sharing Economy
Chapter 33 The Insurance Industry
Part 9 Impact on Society
Chapter 34 Work and Welfare
Chapter 35 Competitiveness
Chapter 36 Emerging Societies
Chapter 37 Urban Development
Part 10 What Needs to be Done?
Chapter 38 Agenda for the Auto Industry
Chapter 39 Ten-Point Plan for Governments
Epilogue: Brave New World
Bibliography
Index