Analysis of meat price volatility in China
Abstract
Purpose
In recent years, frequent volatility is deeply influencing meat industry, household lives and macroeconomics. The main purpose of this paper is to analyze the volatility of Chinese meat price, and provide suggestions on stabilizing the meat market.
Design/methodology/approach
This paper uses (G) ARCH, (G) ARCH‐M, TARCH and EGARCH models to analyze volatility and its asymmetry of Chinese meat price.
Findings
Estimation result of (G) ARCH model shows volatility clustering of meat price. Estimation result of (G) ARCH‐M model shows high risk and low return in beef market. ARCH and EGARCH models estimation results show non‐symmetry of volatility of beef, mutton and chicken price, and volatility caused by falling price is smaller than that caused by rising price.
Originality/value
This paper shows that volatility of meat price can be predicted and Chinese meat market is not perfect, and special attention to the factors causing rise in meat price is necessary.
Keywords
Citation
Luo, W. and Liu, R. (2011), "Analysis of meat price volatility in China", China Agricultural Economic Review, Vol. 3 No. 3, pp. 402-411. https://doi.org/10.1108/17561371111165815
Publisher
:Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2011, Emerald Group Publishing Limited