Investor sentiment, risk factors and stock return: evidence from Indian non‐financial companies

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the pricing implication of aggregate market wide investor sentiment risk for cross sectional return variation in the presence of other market wide risk factors.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper employs the Fama and French time series regression approach to examine the impact of market risk premium, size, book‐to‐market equity, momentum and liquidity as risk factors on stock return. Given the importance of inherent imperfect rationality or sentiment risk, the paper further investigates the impact of investor sentiment on the cross section of stock return.

Findings

The choice of a five factor model is apparently persuasive for consideration in investment decisions. Stocks are hard to value and difficult to arbitrage with characteristics which are significantly influenced with the sentiment risk. It is naïve to argue for the universal pricing implication of sentiment risk in a multifactor model framework.

Research limitations/implications

The test assets portfolios are not segregated as per any industry criteria.

Practical implications

Investment managers can use a contrarian investment strategy, for the stocks that are hard to value and riskier to arbitrage to gain excess return when the market follows a downward trend.

Originality/value

This makes the first attempt towards the investigation of the impact of the sentiment risk on cross sectional return variation from an emerging market perspective on such a diversified and large test asset portfolios. The paper has extended the available literature by investigating the impact of sentiment risk after controlling the liquidity risk factor in a multifactor specification. This measure of market wide irrational sentiment index is more comprehensive.

Citation

Ranjan Dash, S. and Mahakud, J. (2012), "Investor sentiment, risk factors and stock return: evidence from Indian non‐financial companies", Journal of Indian Business Research, Vol. 4 No. 3, pp. 194-218. https://doi.org/10.1108/17554191211252699