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A comprehensive review of Turkish technology foresight project

Tugrul Daim (Based at Portland State University, Portland, USA)
Nuri Basoglu (Based at Bogaziçi University, Bebek, Istanbul, Turkey)
Orhan Dursun (Based at TUBITAK, Istanbul, Turkey)
Ozcan Saritas (Based at University of Manchester, Manchester, UK)
Pisek Gerdsri (Based at Portland State University, Portland, USA)


ISSN: 1463-6689

Article publication date: 20 February 2009




The purpose of this paper is to review and analyse Vision 2023: the Turkish National Technology Foresight project. The paper aims to review the process of conducting the project, how it was implemented afterwards and how it compares to other national technology foresight projects


Through a literature search, a process framework was conducted. The analysis was then conducted in four phases. First a process review, second a comparative review, third content review and finally a post project review. Expert interviews and site visits to Turkish State Planning Organization and TUBITAK (Scientific and Technical Research Council of Turkey) helped the authors to collect the data on Vision 2023 including how it was established, which areas were involved and what the recommendations were. Finally an expert panel was organized as part of a recent Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology. This included experts involved in the project as well as leading researchers who have been analyzing this project. This panel helped to validate the results.


Processes used in the Turkish project were similar to the other national projects, however lack of political ownership and change in leadership had been blocking the recommendations coming out of this project from being implemented. A second effort is required to modify the results of the first one and to establish political ownership and leadership. Several other national projects had multiple rounds before solid actions were taken. Industry needs to be a part of the effort as the panelists indicated that several key corporations were missing in the first project.

Practical implications

The project provides comparative details on running national technology foresight projects. This should be useful for those responsible for planning similar projects.


The paper reviews the project implementation process and what happened after the implementation providing feedback on what should have been done or should be done in similar foresight projects.



Daim, T., Basoglu, N., Dursun, O., Saritas, O. and Gerdsri, P. (2009), "A comprehensive review of Turkish technology foresight project", Foresight, Vol. 11 No. 1, pp. 21-42.



Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2009, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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