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A foresight based on scientific indicators:a framework drawn from the case of laptop battery alternatives

Tugrul Daim (Tugrul Daim and Stephen Jordan are both based at Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, USA.)
Stephen Jordan (Tugrul Daim and Stephen Jordan are both based at Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, USA.)

Foresight

ISSN: 1463-6689

Article publication date: 30 May 2008

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to forecast technological change for laptop batteries. The most promising technology to replace laptop batteries emerging today is micro fuel cells.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors use several sources of technical data like the Department of Energy Sandia National Laboratory Technical Library for exploring this topic further. Patents were searched for fuel cell and lithium battery development and to perform a technology cycle time analysis, identify countries filing patents, and discover what areas they are working on development.

Findings

Based on the analysis, fuel cells promise to be the technology that will replace laptop lithium batteries.

Originality/value

This paper attempts to draw a framework bringing different scientific data sources together for technology forecasting.

Keywords

Citation

Daim, T. and Jordan, S. (2008), "A foresight based on scientific indicators:a framework drawn from the case of laptop battery alternatives", Foresight, Vol. 10 No. 3, pp. 43-54. https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680810883116

Publisher

:

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2008, Emerald Group Publishing Limited