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Bridging the gap between scenarios and models

Emilio Fontela (University of Geneva, Place Longemalle 7, CH‐1204 Geneva, Switzerland)

Foresight

ISSN: 1463-6689

Article publication date: 1 February 2000

808

Abstract

Practitioners of futures research think that most modelling, and especially economic modelling, is concerned with forecasting. Since it is generally agreed that futures research is not concerned with deterministic views of the future, futures researchers have turned their back on quantitative methods, relying instead on scenario methods. However, given the progress made in modelling techniques, there are no reasons to maintain the divorce between futures research and modelling, especially economic modelling. Both can provide interesting insights about the future and these insights can certainly be improved by using all available techniques.

Keywords

Citation

Fontela, E. (2000), "Bridging the gap between scenarios and models", Foresight, Vol. 2 No. 1, pp. 10-14. https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680010802447

Publisher

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MCB UP Ltd

Copyright © 2000, MCB UP Limited

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