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The Dutch disease syndrome in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, and Syria: a comparative study

Gretta Saab (University of Balamand, Balamand, Lebanon)
Maya Ayoub (American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon)

Competitiveness Review

ISSN: 1059-5422

Article publication date: 3 August 2010

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Abstract

Purpose

This research paper aims to examine the Dutch disease syndrome in the more diversified economies of the Economic and Social Commission of Western Asia (ESCWA).

Design/methodology/approach

An econometric model was applied to observe the impact of this syndrome on the different sectors of the economy. A regression analysis examined the relationship between this inflow of capital and lagging sector of these economies. Similarly, Granger‐causality was applied to determine the direction of causality between the variables.

Findings

Results indicate that worker remittances, foreign grants, and oil revenues are the main factors behind the Dutch syndrome in the ESCWA region. Channeling remittances through investments, subsidizing output of lagging sectors, and imposing higher import tariffs are recommended to reduce the negative externalities of the Dutch disease.

Research limitations/implications

It is to be noted that the paper has some limitations since data/statistics for the ESCWA region may not be totally reliable.

Originality/value

The paper sheds some light on the impact of this syndrome in the developing economies of Western Asia.

Keywords

Citation

Saab, G. and Ayoub, M. (2010), "The Dutch disease syndrome in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, and Syria: a comparative study", Competitiveness Review, Vol. 20 No. 4, pp. 343-359. https://doi.org/10.1108/10595421011077980

Publisher

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Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2010, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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