TY  - JOUR
AB  - Based on the theory of blown‐ups, as described by OuYang in 1995 and 1994, for nonlinear dynamic systems on general pansystems transformation, optimization and panderivatives, etc., in this paper, we employ the method, developed in OuYang (1994), to show that the blown‐ups of the nonlinear heat conductive equation is similar to the evolution of observable ground temperature “currents”. According to this analysis, we conduct a simulation based on the historical data of Tang Shan Earthquake in 1976. The simulation results show that: the blown‐ups of the ground temperature “currents” around the earthquake area can be applied to predict forthcoming earthquakes. As for the most disastrous Tang Shan Earthquake, the prediction time is about five months in advance. If the ground temperature “current” that embodies the earth’s crust movement satisfies the unintegrable panderivative equation, we can with enough information demonstrate blown‐up mechanism and forecast relevant earthquakes.
VL  - 27
IS  - 6/7
SN  - 0368-492X
DO  - 10.1108/03684929810223166
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1108/03684929810223166
AU  - Li Chao
AU  - OuYang Soucheng
AU  - Tang Maocang
PY  - 1998
Y1  - 1998/01/01
TI  - 14. Ground temperature “currents” and earthquake prediction
T2  - Kybernetes
PB  - MCB UP Ltd
SP  - 773
EP  - 787
Y2  - 2024/05/11
ER  -