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A dynamic method of air temperature forecast

Fanliang Kong (Department of Mathematics, Harbin University of Science and Technology, Harbin, People’s Republic of China)
MingSong Sun (Department of Mathematics, Harbin University of Science and Technology, Harbin, People’s Republic of China)
Lianxing Zhu (Department of Mathematics, Harbin University of Science and Technology, Harbin, People’s Republic of China)
Liyao Zhou (HeiLongJiang Province Meteorological Centre, People’s Republic of China)

Kybernetes

ISSN: 0368-492X

Article publication date: 1 February 2004

249

Abstract

According to the air temperature change and concerning some information from a region and a large city over the years, this paper delves into a dynamic method of air temperature forecast. A mathematical model and a set of recursive estimate formulas are used for the forecast of air temperature change. By these formulas, the recent information can be fully applied, a forecast with satisfactory accuracy is obtained. The calculation is simplified, and the forecast effect is better than that by ordinary least square estimate method.

Keywords

Citation

Kong, F., Sun, M., Zhu, L. and Zhou, L. (2004), "A dynamic method of air temperature forecast", Kybernetes, Vol. 33 No. 2, pp. 282-287. https://doi.org/10.1108/03684920410514229

Publisher

:

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2004, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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