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Further evidence on the forecasting performance of two factor continuous time interest rate models in international and Asia‐Pacific financial markets

S.L. Byers (Risk Analysis Division, Comptroller of the Currency, Washington D.C 20219, USA)
K. Ben Nowman (Department of Economics and Finance, University of Durham, Durham DH1 3HY, UK)

Managerial Finance

ISSN: 0307-4358

Article publication date: 1 January 2001

504

Abstract

Refers to previous research on the empirical testing of continuous time, two factor short rate interest models by Chan, Karolyi, Longstaff and Sanders (1992), Vasicek (1997) and Cox, Ingersoll and Ross (1985); and the Nowman (1997, 2000) Gaussian estimation approach. Applies these ideas to monthly interbank and Euro‐currency data for a variety of periods and currencies to compare the explanatory/forecasting power of each model with the unrestricted model. Presents the results which show that volatility levels and forecasting performance vary for the models and markets tested.

Keywords

Citation

Byers, S.L. and Ben Nowman, K. (2001), "Further evidence on the forecasting performance of two factor continuous time interest rate models in international and Asia‐Pacific financial markets", Managerial Finance, Vol. 27 No. 1/2, pp. 40-61. https://doi.org/10.1108/03074350110767493

Publisher

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MCB UP Ltd

Copyright © 2001, MCB UP Limited

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