MEASURING AND ACCOUNTING FOR MARKET PRICE RISK TRADEOFFS AS REAL OPTIONS IN STOCK FOR STOCK EXCHANGES

Abstract

The flexibility of managers to respond to risk and uncertainty inherent in business decisions is clearly of value. This value has historically been recognized in an ad hoc manner in the absence of a methodology for more rigorous assessment of value. The application of real option methodology represents a more objective mechanism that allows managers to hedge against adverse effects and exploit upside potential. Of particular interest to managers in the merger and acquisition (M&A) process is the value of such flexibility related to the particular terms of a transaction. Typically, stock for stock transactions take more time to complete as compared to cash given the time lapse between announcement and completion. Over this period, if stock prices are volatile, stock for stock exchanges may result in adverse selection through the dilution of shareholder wealth of an acquiring firm or a target firm.

The paper develops a real option collar model that may be employed by managers to measure the market price risk involved to their shareholders in offering or accepting stock. We further discuss accounting issues related to this contingency pricing effect. Using an acquisition example from U.S. banking industry we illustrate how the collar arrangement may be used to hedge market price risk through flexibility to renegotiate the deal by exercising managerial options.

Citation

Herath, H.S.B. and Jahera, J.S. (2004), "MEASURING AND ACCOUNTING FOR MARKET PRICE RISK TRADEOFFS AS REAL OPTIONS IN STOCK FOR STOCK EXCHANGES", Advances in Management Accounting (Advances in Management Accounting, Vol. 12), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 191-218. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1474-7871(04)12009-1