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Inflationary expectations threaten eastern EU recovery

Location:

EU

Supply bottlenecks and higher energy prices have driven up prices. The OECD reported 4.6% annual inflation in September, and 18.9% for energy. In the EU, annual inflation reached…

Prospects for the global economy in 2017

Location:

PROSPECTS 2017

Prospects for the global economy in 2017.

Low global volatility is hiding credit risks

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Downward pressure on bond yields.

Monetary tightening will spread through Central Europe

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Central banks’ divergent monetary policy stances in Central Europe.

Hungary’s monetary stance may weaken forint further

Location:

HUNGARY

Hungary’s financial and economic woes are deepening amid a second wave of COVID-19 infections, which is undermining business and consumer confidence, and threatening to derail the…

CNB will keep raising rates to quell Czech inflation

Location:

CZECH REPUBLIC

Central Europe’s monetary hawks and doves.

Conflicting pressures shape Africa's monetary policy

Location:

AFRICA

Other central banks in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) have been increasing rates in a bid to contain inflation and shore up currencies. However, further increases risk dampening growth…

Higher oil prices damage India’s economic outlook

Location:

INDIA

GDP growth picked up in the final quarter of 2017. The improvement was broad-based; manufacturing, construction, services and agriculture all expanded. However, higher oil prices…

Absence of price pressures checks central bank hawks

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The impact of persistently low inflation on the pace of monetary policy 'regime change' in most countries.

Euro-area activity will slow sharply or even contract

Location:

EU

The euro-area is highly exposed to the fallout from the Ukraine war, and higher commodity prices for a longer period will squeeze the disposable incomes of households and firms…