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The Fed will be very cautious about policy tightening

Location:

UNITED STATES

The Fed targets an average annual inflation rate of 2% but, under its 2020 monetary policy framework, will tolerate a moderate overshoot to make up for past low inflation. The Fed…

Disinflationary pressures weigh on China's growth

Location:

CHINA

CHINA: Downward inflation pressures will resume

Prospects for the euro-area economy to end-2022

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for the euro-area economy to end-2022.

A revival of money velocity would pressure the US Fed

Location:

UNITED STATES

The debate about how transitory this inflation is will persist. One way to consider the phenomenon is to examine the velocity of money -- the ratio of nominal GDP to monetary…

Higher oil prices damage India’s economic outlook

Location:

INDIA

GDP growth picked up in the final quarter of 2017. The improvement was broad-based; manufacturing, construction, services and agriculture all expanded. However, higher oil prices…

Euro-area activity will slow sharply or even contract

Location:

EU

The euro-area is highly exposed to the fallout from the Ukraine war, and higher commodity prices for a longer period will squeeze the disposable incomes of households and firms…

The central banks face an increasingly complex dilemma

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

With inflation lasting longer than expected, worries about the impact on banking may limit the scope for more rate hikes. Equally, a pause could undermine central banks'…

UK low inflation pressures will buy time for the BOE

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

UNITED KINGDOM: Low prices will buy time for the BOE

Prospects for the global economy in the second quarter

Location:

PROSPECTS Q2 2015

Prospects for the global economy in the second quarter.

US Fed will struggle to raise rates much in 2016

Location:

US/INT

US monetary policy outlook for 2016 and its global impact.