Lockdown exit strategy optimality will impact recovery

Subject

Lockdown exit optimality.

Significance

State capacity and social cohesion will be crucial to a country's ability to determine and implement a more-or-less optimal exit strategy.

Impacts

• Nations exiting successfully, as viewed by health and economic outcomes, will have had a ‘good pandemic’; their policies will be imitated.
• For public policy, there are advantages to countries adopting different exit strategies because if all converge, far less will be learned.
• Research shows that 22% of the world population has at least one existing condition, raising their risk and making a gradated exit tricky.